Report China Sees Higher Risks of Disasters in 3rd Quarter of 2025

China Faces Heightened Disaster Risks Despite Early 2025 Safety Gains

China is making significant strides in reducing accidents and natural disasters, reporting notable improvements in the first half of 2025. However, officials warn that the third quarter may bring heightened risks due to extreme weather and persistent industrial challenges.

Safety Accidents See Notable Decline

According to the Ministry of Emergency Management (MEM), the Chinese mainland recorded 8,562 industrial accidents in the first half of 2025, marking a 22.9% decrease compared to the same period last year. Fatalities also dropped by 17.8%, totaling 8,079 deaths. This decline suggests that safety measures and regulations are beginning to take effect.

Despite these positive trends, certain high-risk industries continue to face challenges:

  • Fire Hazards: Significant fires in crowded commercial venues like shopping malls highlight ongoing fire safety concerns.
  • Transportation: Accidents involving inland river shipping and illegal passenger transportation in trucks and agricultural vehicles remain issues.
  • Chemical and Fireworks Industries: Explosions and hazardous material incidents pose threats due to illegal production activities.
  • Construction and Mining: Fatal accidents, including collapses and falls in construction, and illegal mining operations contribute to ongoing risks.
  • Manufacturing: Accidents related to confined spaces and dust explosions have seen a rebound.

Mixed Outcomes in Natural Disasters

China’s natural disaster landscape in early 2025 showed a decrease in overall damage, but certain regions experienced significant disruptions. The National Disaster Reduction and Relief Committee reported that over 25 million people were affected by natural disasters, resulting in 307 fatalities and economic losses amounting to nearly 54.11 billion yuan (about $7.5 billion).

Key points include:

  • Earthquakes: A magnitude-6.8 earthquake in Xizang in January caused substantial damage, though overall seismic activity was below historical norms afterward.
  • Floods and Droughts: Southern regions faced severe flooding, while drought conditions affected parts of both the northern and southern areas but have since eased.
  • Geological Disasters: Landslides in southwestern provinces like Sichuan and Guizhou led to significant loss of life and property.
  • Forest Fires and Cold Waves: These events were less severe compared to previous years.

Heightened Risks in the Third Quarter

Officials are closely monitoring the third quarter of 2025, a period traditionally associated with increased accidents and natural disasters. Xu Xianbiao, deputy director-general of the National Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, emphasized the critical nature of this time. “We anticipate that 2 to 3 typhoons will make landfall this year, with some potentially strengthening and impacting key regions,” Xu stated.

The heightened risks are due to:

  • Extreme Weather: Heavy rainfall, typhoons, and extreme heat are expected to intensify, particularly in the Yangtze River basin and southwestern regions.
  • Industrial Activity: As businesses enter peak production, safety precautions in sectors like transportation, tourism, and construction are vital.

Conclusion: Vigilance Remains Key

While the first half of 2025 shows positive signs, the impending risks of the third quarter underscore the need for continued vigilance. The government and industries are ramping up efforts to safeguard public safety and mitigate the impact of potential disasters.

As challenges loom, coordinated efforts between officials and communities will be crucial in ensuring safety and resilience across the Chinese mainland.

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