Tokyo, Japan — Japan’s ruling coalition is poised to lose its majority in the upper house of parliament, according to exit polls released on Sunday. This setback could usher in a period of political uncertainty and challenges for the government.
The coalition, comprised of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its junior partner Komeito, is projected to secure around 41 of the 125 contested seats, falling short of the 50 required to maintain control of the 248-seat chamber, as reported by local media outlets Nippon TV and TBS.
National broadcaster NHK’s exit polls suggest the coalition may win between 32 and 51 seats. In a surprising turn, the right-wing populist Sanseito party made significant gains, potentially securing 10 to 22 seats in addition to the two it already holds.
This development compounds difficulties for the current administration, which came into power less than a year ago. Last October, the coalition lost control of the more powerful lower house in snap elections called shortly after the new government took office.
If these projections hold, it would mark the first time since World War II that Japan’s ruling bloc lacks a majority in both houses of parliament, significantly undermining its ability to pass legislation and govern effectively.
The loss also reflects public dissatisfaction with economic issues such as inflation, shrinking pensions, and stagnant wages. Additionally, rising concerns over U.S. tariffs are adding to the government’s woes. A substantial 25 percent tariff on Japanese exports, including automobiles, is set to take effect on August 1 if no agreement is reached with Washington.
Despite high-level meetings with U.S. officials, the government has yet to secure a deal. The administration’s firm stance on eliminating all tariffs has been met with criticism, with many viewing it as a stumbling block to progress.
The LDP, which has governed Japan almost continuously since 1955, now faces a series of political and economic challenges. With a weakened mandate, a fragmented opposition, and the rise of populist movements, the path forward remains uncertain.
(With input from agencies)
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Japan's ruling coalition likely to lose upper house majority
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